Published Articles
Rosenfeld, Bryn. 2022. "Survey Research in Russia: In the Shadow of War." Post-Soviet Affairs 39(1-2): 38-48. [Abstract] [Download Paper]
Paskhalis, Tom, Bryn Rosenfeld and Katerina Tertytchnaya. 2022. "Independent Media under Pressure: Evidence from Russia." Post-Soviet Affairs 38(3): 155-174. [Download Paper]
Rosenfeld, Bryn. 2022. "Belarusian Public Opinion and the 2020 Uprising." Post-Soviet Affairs, 38(1-2): 150-154. [Abstract][Download Paper]
Pop-Eleches, Grigore, Graeme Robertson and Bryn Rosenfeld. 2022. "Protest Participation and Attitude Change: Evidence from Ukraine's Euromaidan Revolution." The Journal of Politics 84(2): 625-638. [Abstract] [Download Paper][Replication Archive]
Rosenfeld, Bryn. 2021. "State Dependency and the Limits of Middle Class Support for Democracy." Comparative Political Studies 54(3-4): 411-444. [Abstract][Download Paper][Replication Archive]
Chou, Winston, Kosuke Imai, and Bryn Rosenfeld. 2020. “Sensitive Survey Questions with Auxiliary Information.” Sociological Methods & Research 49(2): 418-454. [Abstract][Download Paper][Replication Archive]
Rosenfeld, Bryn. 2018. “The Popularity Costs of Economic Crisis Under Electoral Authoritarianism: Evidence from Russia.” American Journal of Political Science 62(2): 382-397. [Abstract][Download Paper][Replication Archive]
Rosenfeld, Bryn. 2017. “Reevaluating the Middle Class Protest Paradigm: A Case-Control Study of Democratic Protest Coalitions in Russia.” American Political Science Review 111(4): 637-652. [Abstract][Download Paper][Replication Archive]
Rosenfeld, Bryn, Kosuke Imai, and Jacob N. Shapiro. 2016. “An Empirical Validation Study of Popular Survey Methodologies for Sensitive Questions.” American Journal of Political Science 60(3): 783–802. [Abstract][Download Paper][Replication Archive]
Working Papers
Information Politics and Propaganda in Authoritarian Societies (with Jeremy Wallace; Conditionally accepted at the Annual Review of Political Science)
Anxiety and Information Seeking in an Autocracy: Lessons from the COVID Pandemic in Russia (with Grigo Pop-Eleches and Graeme Robertson, Under Review) [Abstract][Download Paper]
In nondemocracies, such varied political acts as protest participation, voting for the opposition, and abstaining from supporting regime candidates entail risks. Yet risk attitudes have seldom been studied directly in authoritarian settings. This paper investigates how citizens’ attitudes toward risk shape political participation under authoritarian rule; it proposes a theory of how affective factors interact with an individual’s baseline tolerance for risk to explain risky political behavior—even when the strong organizational ties emphasized by exiting literature on high-risk participation are absent. Empirically, I test this argument using survey data from Russia on expressions of regime support (and evasive nonresponses), voting behavior (including non-voting and opposition voting); and a survey experiment on willingness to protest after regime repression. This paper is the first to benchmark the predictive power of risk attitudes relative to other known determinates of regime support and voting behavior. It also contributes to our understanding of how ordinary citizens overcome a baseline aversion to political risk-taking.