Published Articles

Rosenfeld, Bryn. 2022. "Survey Research in Russia: In the Shadow of War." Post-Soviet Affairs 39(1-2): 38-48. [Abstract] [Download Paper

Paskhalis, Tom, Bryn Rosenfeld and Katerina Tertytchnaya. 2022. "Independent Media under Pressure: Evidence from Russia." Post-Soviet Affairs 38(3): 155-174.  [Download Paper]

Rosenfeld, Bryn. 2022. "Belarusian Public Opinion and the 2020 Uprising." Post-Soviet Affairs, 38(1-2): 150-154. [Abstract][Download Paper]

Pop-Eleches, Grigore, Graeme Robertson and Bryn Rosenfeld. 2022. "Protest Participation and Attitude Change: Evidence from Ukraine's Euromaidan Revolution." The Journal of Politics 84(2): 625-638. [Abstract] [Download Paper][Replication Archive]

Do protests actually influence political opinions or do they merely reflect existing policy preferences? We study this issue using panel data with measures of political attitudes and behavior taken both before and after Ukraine's Euromaidan protests. We find that protests do not just reveal protesters' political views but also shape them. Participation changed protesters' policy preferences on issues related to the main protest frames, and it also increased attitude coherence on core issues. In addition, protest participants experienced significant increases in political efficacy, trust and participation compared to non-participants. We show that the mechanisms underlying these attitudinal and behavioral changes are related to the experience itself of protesting, and thus depend to an important degree on protest context. These findings speak to both the short and long-term mechanisms by which protest participation can shape political engagement and public opinion. 

Rosenfeld, Bryn. 2021. "State Dependency and the Limits of Middle Class Support for Democracy." Comparative Political Studies 54(3-4): 411-444. [Abstract][Download Paper][Replication Archive]

Chou, Winston, Kosuke Imai, and Bryn Rosenfeld. 2020. “Sensitive Survey Questions with Auxiliary Information.” Sociological Methods & Research 49(2): 418-454. [Abstract][Download Paper][Replication Archive]

Rosenfeld, Bryn, Kosuke Imai, and Jacob N. Shapiro. 2016. “An Empirical Validation Study of Popular Survey Methodologies for Sensitive Questions.” American Journal of Political Science 60(3): 783–802. [Abstract][Download Paper][Replication Archive]

Working Papers 


Information Politics and Propaganda in Authoritarian Societies (with Jeremy Wallace; Conditionally accepted at the Annual Review of Political Science)


Anxiety and Information Seeking in an Autocracy: Lessons from the COVID Pandemic in Russia (with Grigo Pop-Eleches and Graeme Robertson, Under Review) [Abstract][Download Paper


Risk Attitudes and Political Participation under Authoritarian Rule [Abstract]


Repression, Emotions and Legitimacy: Evidence from a Survey Experiment in Russia (with Grigo Pop-Eleches, Graeme Robertson and Samuel Greene)


Polarization and Support for Undemocratic Behavior: The Case of Russia (with Yunus Orhan, John Reuter, and David Szakonyi) [Abstract][Download Paper]


Public Sector Independence and Democratic Backsliding (with Frances Cayton, Under Review)


Identity Change in Times of Crisis: How Russian Aggression Has Shaped Ukrainian Identity from Donbas to the Full-Scale Invasion (with Grigo Pop-Eleches and Graeme Robertson)

A Case-Control Method for Studying Protest Participation and Other Rare Events [Abstract]